Journal of Clinical Toxicology
Open Access

CEMI Department, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris, France

Publications

• Research Article   
  National Consumption of Antimalarial Drugs and COVID-19 Deaths Dynamics: An Econometric Study
  Author(s): Maxime Izoulet*
  
  COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease-2019) is an international public health problem with a high rate of severe clinical cases. Several treatments are currently being tested worldwide. This paper focuses on anti-malarial drugs such as chloroquine or hydroxychloroquine. We compare the dynamics of COVID-19 daily deaths in countries using anti-malaria drugs as a treatment from the start of the epidemic versus countries that do not, the day of the 3rd death and the following 10 days. We then use a ARIMA modeling to realize a short-term forecast of deaths dynamics for each group. We show that the first group have a much slower dynamic in daily deaths that the second group. This ecological study is of course only one additional piece of evidence in the debate regarding the efficiency of anti-malaria drugs, and it is also limited as the two groups certainly have othe.. View More»
  DOI: 10.35248/2161-0495.20.10.456

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