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Samrat Chatterjee
Complex Analysis Group, Translational Health Science and Technology Institute NCR Biotech Science Cluster, Faridabad-121001, India
Publications
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Research Article
Covid-19 Transmission Dynamics During the Unlock Phase and Significance of Testing
Author(s): Abhijit Paul, Samrat Chatterjee and Nandadulal Bairagi*
The pandemic disease Covid-19 caused by SARS-COV-2 has established itself as the most devastating disease in the history of infectious disease, affecting 216 countries/territories across the globe. Policies like social distancing and lockdown were adopted to tackle the spreading of the disease. The disease is still not under control, but many countries have withdrawn the lockdown and going through phase-wise unlock-ing process. The removal of movement restriction causes free circulation of the disease mostly through the undetected class. The present study is an attempt to understand and estimate the possible epidemic burden during the unlock phase in the presence of the undetected class. Through a modified SEIR model, we focus our study on India and the USA, where the epidemic curve is still growing and the unlock process has started. We estimated the parameter values for both the cou.. View more»