Seo MC
Republic of Korea
Research Article
Evaluation of Variation and Uncertainty in the Potential Yield of Soybeans in South Korea Using Multi-model Ensemble Climate Change Scenarios
Author(s): Chung U, Kim YU, Seo BS and Seo MCChung U, Kim YU, Seo BS and Seo MC
Recently, information provided by various Global Climate Models (GCMs) has been applied to various research fields. A Multi-model Ensemble (MME) approach, which assesses the impact of climate change on agricultural crop production using one or more climate datasets from GCMs, has been widely used. We estimated the changes in soybean potential yield at 16 sites using the climate change scenarios, and then predicted the relative change in predicted potential yield for each single GCM, producing an observation climate-based simulated potential yield. Lastly, we assessed the degree of uncertainty for changes in potential yield predicted from MME approach.
In the results, although there were differences in the values themselves, the Standard Deviations (SD) of predicted soybean potential yield for each individual GCM were not significantly different from the SD of observation clima.. View More»
DOI:
10.4172/2168-9881.1000158